Here’s the Latest Government Data on Jewelry Sales
Plus, National Retail Federation Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz shares his thoughts on inflation and a possible recession.
Sales in the category in July were up 10 percent year-over-year, according to preliminary data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).
Jewelry sales alone increased 10 percent year-over-year while watch sales were also up 10 percent.
In June, sales in the watch and jewelry category rose only 0.8 percent year-over-year, with jewelry sales increasing 0.9 percent and watch sales essentially flat.
Watch and jewelry sales were up 5 percent year-over-year in May and up 14 percent year-over-year in April, as per revised data.
Watch and jewelry sales for the full year are expected to continue to grow but won’t reach the highs of last year.
In 2021, dubbed by industry analyst Edahn Golan as “the year of jewelry,” sales in the category reached an estimated $115.29 billion, a 51 percent increase year-over-year, according to BEA data.
This year, as of July, full-year watch and jewelry sales are expected to reach an estimated $126.66 billion, a 10 percent year-over-year increase.
The overall economy is expected to be on a similar trajectory of slowing growth amid rising inflation and geopolitical unrest.
In the National Retail Federation’s August review, Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz gave an overview of the current economic situation.
“Today, inflation is both sky-high and on everyone’s mind,” he said.
The Consumer Price Index, which measures the average change in prices over time consumers will pay for a basket of goods and services, rose about 9 percent year-over-year in both June and July.
“Many of the forces contributing to inflation will not be unwound soon but we are seeing some potential relief as commodity and oil prices decline,” he said.
As gas prices fell, CPI was flat month-over-month in July compared with a 1 percent increase in June.
Looking at the overall economy, Kleinhenz noted that key economic indicators, including employment, retail sales, income and industrial production have slowed, but have not yet reached contraction territory.
“Clearly, demand has slowed, but the slowdown is entirely a result of towering inflation,” he said.
The Federal Reserve has hiked interest rates an unprecedented amount recently in an effort to combat inflation, but the problem is complex.
“The Fed is caught between an economic rock and a monetary policy hard place,” he said.
If the Fed doesn’t do enough, inflation rates will continue to rise, but if it goes too far in adjusting monetary policy, there could be a recession.
“Consumer reaction to interest rate hikes is hardly immediate or predictable, making it impossible to judge the effect of the Fed’s actions in real time and quickly correct any oversteering,” said Kleinhenz.
As for the remainder of 2022, he predicted inflation forecasts will continue to be “highly uncertain” and that supply constraints will factor into the second half of the year.
The NRF has not changed its full-year outlook, and still expects 2022 retail sales will grow by a range of 6-8 percent year-over-year.
“The driver of the U.S. economy is the consumer and spending has been fueled by the stronger-than-ever labor market,” he added.
For now, Kleinhenz reiterated his prediction that the U.S. should be able to avoid a recession this year.
“Despite ongoing uncertainties, we believe the underlying strength of the economy is strong enough to deal with inflation and keep a recession at bay – or short-lived even if we are wrong.”
The Latest
Padis succeeds Lisa Bridge, marking the first time the organization has had two women board presidents in a row.
Jesse Cole, founder of Fans First Entertainment, shared the “five Es” of building a fan base during his AGS Conclave keynote.
The Royal Oak Perpetual Calendar "John Mayer" was celebrated at a star-studded party in LA last week.
With Ho Brothers, you can unlock your brand's true potential and offer customers the personalized jewelry experiences they desire.
The announcement came as the company reported a 23 percent drop in production in Q1.
The three-time Pro Bowler continues to partner with the retailer, donating to a Detroit nonprofit and giving watches to fans.
A double-digit drop in the number of in-store crimes was offset by a jump in off-premises attacks, JSA’s 2023 crime report shows.
For over 30 years, JA has advocated for the industry, fought against harmful legislation and backed measures that help jewelry businesses.
Inspired by the Roman goddess of love, the designer looked to the sea for her new collection.
The luxury titan posted declining sales, weighed down by Gucci’s poor performance.
The selected nine organizations have outlined their plans for the funds.
The mining company’s Diavik Diamond Mine lost four employees in a plane crash in January.
The crown introduced a dozen timepieces in Geneva, including a heavy metal version of its deep-sea divers’ watch.
Emmanuel Raheb recommends digging into demographic data, customizing your store’s communications, and retargeting ahead of May 12.
Located in the town of Queensbury, it features a dedicated bridal section and a Gabriel & Co. store-in-store.
A 203-carat diamond from the alluvial mine in Angola achieved the highest price.
Ruser was known for his figural jewelry with freshwater pearls and for his celebrity clientele.
The “Rebel Heart” campaign embodies rebellion, romance, and sensuality, the brand said.
Editor-in-Chief Michelle Graff shares the standout moments from the education sessions she attended in Austin last week.
The overhaul includes a new logo and enhanced digital marketplace.
The money will go toward supporting ongoing research and aftercare programs for childhood cancer survivors.
A new addition to the “Heirloom” collection, this one-of-a-kind piece features 32 custom-cut gemstones.
Last month in Dallas, David Walton pushed another jeweler, David Ettinger, who later died.
The move will allow the manufacturing company to offer a more “diverse and comprehensive” range of products.
From now through mid-May, GIA will be offering the reports at a 50 percent discount.
De Beers’ rough diamond sales were down 18 percent year-over-year in its latest round of sales.
Sponsored by the Las Vegas Antique Jewelry & Watch Show